{
 "name": "Women's life expectancy twenty years ahead in 155 countries, revised method, frozen before the UN 2026 revision (women only)",
 "registered": "2026-10-10",
 "why": "A second frozen method beside protocol-wpp2026.json, after the 2024 interim miss showed a fault at the top of the gain curve.",
 "method": "e0v2.ts with freeze-e0-v2.ts at this commit (women only): gains measured over five years, the highest levels pooled until each band holds 200 points, above the top band a gain falling toward 0.13 years a year within five years of level (the asymptotic rate of the UN's model, Raftery et al. 2013), the crisis-robust own residual and deficit recovery of e0.ts. Fitted on WPP 2024 medium up to 2005. Chosen on development only (develop-e0-v2.ts, every origin 1979-2003): women in Eurostat and OECD countries from origins 1994 on 0.93 years (the method scored in results-interim-2024.json: 1.14). Men are not registered: their best development error was 1.36.",
 "target": "LExFemale for 2025 in WPP 2026 (medium variant), the 155 countries of forecast-e0-women-v2-2005.json",
 "primary": {
  "metric": "mean absolute error in years, women",
  "all_countries_bar": 1.8,
  "outside_hiv_and_crisis_bar": 1.2,
  "stretch": 1.0,
  "met_if": "at or below 1.8 over all 155 and at or below 1.2 over the countries on neither crisis-2005-2025.json nor the notScored list of results-backcast-e0-bayes.json; every country is scored and reported"
 },
 "frozen_sha256": {
  "forecast-e0-women-v2-2005.json": "10c7f02f89c7e20cbb1bc6df19b24dadcd8a7a460a59282032cee03c9e138778",
  "freeze-e0-v2.ts": "82030e49b52937069340eeb3ab5c10d262f1782e396a8951b2c898f4c682aa38",
  "e0v2.ts": "31340e77ddf670b7bcb8e6ca1487f0188aa707b7a72e2107b8ee93af47ccbc38",
  "e0.ts": "2f06e160d253071e9b71b0a094f9218a58b274280ad39e1a752a2c62930aebba",
  "wpp.ts": "bc90301672c0decdcec01bb3aebffaa36431144653ffcb4cf05befaa7eb0805d",
  "crisis-2005-2025.json": "38ae4b51369f0e8cee178bd2e18d86ee35400d57860f1b3bdcf312b7fdd90bbc",
  "crisis-list.py": "6bc39c22584db1bf74fcdeef0a2563d90bb012039b76fa893fa8f5d9bd5ba471",
  "results-backcast-e0-bayes.json": "07865dd8e979679817a49387feb9e0f4897270cc016d8538d52d91df4524eea9"
 }
}