{
 "protocolSha256": "4c5cb92bb7f57517262a1c58a2042976e0710a674456dfa9e88a3077613f67d6",
 "countries": {
  "chosen": 155,
  "scored": 135,
  "shock": 14,
  "notScored": [
   "Kenya",
   "Malawi",
   "Mozambique",
   "Rwanda",
   "Uganda",
   "United Republic of Tanzania",
   "Zambia",
   "Zimbabwe",
   "Cameroon",
   "Central African Republic",
   "Congo",
   "Gabon",
   "Botswana",
   "Eswatini",
   "Lesotho",
   "Namibia",
   "South Africa",
   "Côte d'Ivoire",
   "Guinea-Bissau",
   "Togo"
  ]
 },
 "shockList": [
  "Afghanistan",
  "Armenia",
  "Bosnia and Herzegovina",
  "Burundi",
  "Dem. People's Republic of Korea",
  "Eritrea",
  "Ethiopia",
  "Honduras",
  "Iraq",
  "Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244)",
  "Russian Federation",
  "Somalia",
  "South Sudan",
  "Sudan"
 ],
 "substitution": "the generalised-HIV list is bayesLife's include_2024 code 1 (the UN implementation's own exclusion from estimation), not the printed list of Raftery et al. 2013",
 "stackWeightOnBayes": {
  "F": 0.36,
  "M": 0.46
 },
 "scores": {
  "F": {
   "bayes": {
    "overall": 2.436,
    "withoutShocks": 2.057,
    "irreducible": 0.379,
    "worst": [
     "Ethiopia -15.7",
     "Angola -12.0",
     "South Sudan -12.0",
     "Sierra Leone -11.9",
     "Burundi -11.5",
     "Eritrea -10.1",
     "Senegal -8.3",
     "Cambodia -5.9",
     "Bangladesh -5.8",
     "Kazakhstan -5.8"
    ]
   },
   "pooled": {
    "overall": 1.501,
    "withoutShocks": 1.418,
    "irreducible": 0.083,
    "worst": [
     "Sierra Leone -8.5",
     "Ethiopia -8.1",
     "Angola -7.4",
     "Benin +5.3",
     "Burundi -5.2",
     "South Sudan -3.8",
     "Cambodia -3.8",
     "United Arab Emirates -3.6",
     "Kazakhstan -3.5",
     "Bangladesh -3.3"
    ]
   },
   "stack": {
    "overall": 1.676,
    "withoutShocks": 1.525,
    "irreducible": 0.151,
    "worst": [
     "Ethiopia -10.8",
     "Sierra Leone -9.7",
     "Angola -9.0",
     "Burundi -7.5",
     "South Sudan -6.7",
     "Eritrea -4.8",
     "Senegal -4.6",
     "Cambodia -4.5",
     "Kazakhstan -4.3",
     "Benin +4.2"
    ]
   }
  },
  "M": {
   "bayes": {
    "overall": 3.123,
    "withoutShocks": 2.724,
    "irreducible": 0.399,
    "worst": [
     "Eritrea -18.4",
     "Sierra Leone -15.9",
     "Angola -14.3",
     "Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) -12.4",
     "Burundi -12.3",
     "South Sudan -10.4",
     "Ethiopia -10.4",
     "Kazakhstan -8.9",
     "Estonia -8.1",
     "Democratic Republic of the Congo -7.9"
    ]
   },
   "pooled": {
    "overall": 2.025,
    "withoutShocks": 1.771,
    "irreducible": 0.254,
    "worst": [
     "Eritrea -15.7",
     "Sierra Leone -13.0",
     "Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) -11.5",
     "Angola -9.5",
     "Burundi -7.4",
     "Ethiopia -5.9",
     "Estonia -5.7",
     "Syrian Arab Republic +4.9",
     "Kazakhstan -4.6",
     "Benin +4.4"
    ]
   },
   "stack": {
    "overall": 2.425,
    "withoutShocks": 2.112,
    "irreducible": 0.313,
    "worst": [
     "Eritrea -16.9",
     "Sierra Leone -14.3",
     "Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) -11.9",
     "Angola -11.7",
     "Burundi -9.7",
     "Ethiopia -8.0",
     "Estonia -6.8",
     "South Sudan -6.7",
     "Kazakhstan -6.6",
     "Democratic Republic of the Congo -5.4"
    ]
   }
  }
 },
 "decision": {
  "stackMet": false,
  "bayesMet": false,
  "met": false
 }
}
